So, time for this month's guess your rating post. Whatcha think you'll be on Tuesday?

My guess is 976.

Probably the last sizable jump I have for a while, considering that thats exactly the level I've been playing since the start of this year. I'll need to really get on my horse the rest of 2008 to move up with that year-end update.

not yet included: Parklane Drive Open, April and Freedom Flight, July. Should counter-act each other and hold out near my present rating when the TDs get on their horses and get the info to the PDGA.

This is the 1st time I have no idea what my rating is going to be. Seriously, it could be anywhere from 860 - 910.

I'm hoping to finally crack the 900 barrier this time. Got my fingers crossed baby!

1011-1012

My last update I went from 982 to 973.

However, most of my tournaments since then have been pretty decent.

I'm guessing up to 976

C'mon baby, drop below 970! :o

933

1009......if I get to drop that 947 round with the 150's

1006.....if not

I'm probably going to drop into the 870's after one tournament where I played some of the worst golf this year, but the last tournament I played which wont be counted on this update I average 935 so hopefully in the winter update it'll shoot back up.

980-ish!

960-967

Mine will be heading south again.......at least until the next update(wishfully thinking).

I'm thinking somewhere between 874-887

Should be up to 1009 but I am still hoping it could be 1010.

scooter if you don't hit 1010 it's gonna be super close.

Anyway, I'm kinda cheating because I have my own rating calculator, but this will be the first test to see how accurate it is...

it says mine is going to go up to 930. Only because one of my TD's couldn't turn the report in on time, so those rounds will have to wait.

I've got 10 other players ratings predicted so I'm anxious to see how accurate it is.

scooter if you don't hit 1010 it's gonna be super close.

Anyway, I'm kinda cheating because I have my own rating calculator, but this will be the first test to see how accurate it is...

it says mine is going to go up to 930. Only because one of my TD's couldn't turn the report in on time, so those rounds will have to wait.

I've got 10 other players ratings predicted so I'm anxious to see how accurate it is.




I kind of pooped my pants the last round at worlds which will probably keep me from hitting 1010. I needed to shoot 1012 for the event and finished at like 1008.

I better break 980 and Im hoping close to 985 but im never right so who knows

no change- 943. unfortunately my good rounds at wvo will go in next update and it will jump to 958- need to shoot poorly at the HHO in october to preserve my am eligibility for vti.

few rounds + inconsistent golf = mad ratings swings

Up from 915 to 926, making my way up...

945 hopefully

i seem stuck at the 964-965 mark, but hope (expect) it will go up every update. i used to figure it out and know, but i stopped doing that because my increases have flattened. i hope 970 but will guess 968. i just missed having rounds from a recent event (Aug. 24) getting in that would have helped me...

Chuck -- is my middle digit still 6?

Chuck -- is my middle digit still 6?



At this point, I know it's a finger... ;)

Chuck -- is my middle digit still 6?



At this point, I know it's a finger... ;)



Clever chuck...

this is the most impressive 10 year CLIMB i've come across (Anthon's a close 2nd).
i predict 1044+ for dave this time around to match Climo's record.

Player Rating History
Effective As Of Rating Rounds Used
24-Jun-2008 1039 91
29-Apr-2008 1035 93
29-Jan-2008 1032 98
13-Nov-2007 1031 94
28-Aug-2007 1030 84
26-Jun-2007 1030 84
10-Apr-2007 1031 88
30-Jan-2007 1030 88
19-Dec-2006 1030 86
19-Sep-2006 1036 83
27-Jun-2006 1027 84
18-Apr-2006 1031 87
24-Jan-2006 1030 83
15-Dec-2005 1028 80
04-Oct-2005 1025 76
15-Sep-2005 1025 75
15-Jul-2005 1025 76
15-May-2005 1021 64
15-Dec-2004 1015 67
15-Sep-2004 1015 64
15-Jul-2004 1016 73
15-May-2004 1013 78
15-Feb-2004 1014 90
15-Dec-2003 1014 90
15-Sep-2003 1015 94
15-Jul-2003 1017 98
15-May-2003 1016 103
31-Dec-2002 1019 111
30-Sep-2002 1017 108
28-Jul-2002 1012 111
27-May-2002 1009 111
31-Mar-2002 1006 107
16-Dec-2001 1000 91
26-Aug-2001 997 80
01-Jul-2001 990 68
29-Apr-2001 985 68
16-Dec-2000 977 64
27-Aug-2000 970 63
25-Jun-2000 969 64
30-Apr-2000 962 61
31-Oct-1999 952 45
29-Aug-1999 948 36
27-Jun-1999 940 38
25-Apr-1999 928 31
15-Nov-1998 926 23
08-Aug-1998 926 21


as for me, hoping to crack 950 :D

i predict 1044+ for dave this time around to match Climo's record.



Not this time.

thanks chuck,
at least you didn't quote my 950 prediction :eek:

Did I misconstrue the rule of not including rounds that are 60 points below your rating? I was under the impression that those rounds would be dropped.

Those who shoot more than 60 points below their rating are not used a propagators to determine the SSA for that single round but their rating may count if it's not more than 2.5SD or more than 100 points below their rating.

Chuck, you finally let me get over 1000 to 1001...and all this time I thought you just wanted to see me top out at 999 :-D

**** I finally thought I was going to get rid of those 940 rounds (there was a time I got to drop 950 rounds)............just take em throw them away or hide them all together..............So will ya take $5 ;)

Chuck, you finally let me get over 1000 to 1001...and all this time I thought you just wanted to see me top out at 999


As if I could actually tweak someone's rating... :p

r d r r

w00tness. Completely correct. 976. Now my rating is close to my playing level I need to start playing some hot golf to get it to start bumping now. Time to bust another plateau.

So will ya take $5


Coming to Augusta Classic? I was hoping to take on Feldberg and Hos in a Super Class skins round...

I think I will stick to my other disc....the mini ;)

K-Mack's rating is inverse to the Cubbies playing!

Surprisingly my rating stayed the same. I was positive it would drop at least 20 points. But the next update should boost my rating pretty well since I played above it at my last 2 tournaments.

With as many rounds as you've racked up, unfortunately playing above your rating will only have a minimal effect on your next rating. I'm only saying this because I thought the same thing when I was rated 914 and was playing 940. I played so many rounds my average is hard to change. I need to either start shooting all 1000 rated rounds or I'm going to have to wait until my older rounds drop off.

BTW: I went up 8 point to 929......slow and steady? It would sure help if I'd stop throwing an occasional 900 rated round.

i seem stuck at the 964-965 mark, but hope (expect) it will go up every update. i used to figure it out and know, but i stopped doing that because my increases have flattened. i hope 970 but will guess 968. i just missed having rounds from a recent event (Aug. 24) getting in that would have helped me...

Chuck -- is my middle digit still 6?



At this point, I know it's a finger... ;)



try seven of them :D

^that^ said, i am only 70 points below 1040... :p

Ouch! A heroic 7 point slide.

Massive drop of one point ending up at 905.

So I was looking at all the rounds that were used for my latest rating (960) and I have a spread from 888 to 1002! :eek: Can you say "inconsistent"? :oAnd people wondered why I played advanced for so long!?! :DAnybody else have a bigger spread?

So I was looking at all the rounds that were used for my latest rating (960) and I have a spread from 888 to 1002! :eek: Can you say "inconsistent"? :oAnd people wondered why I played advanced for so long!?! :DAnybody else have a bigger spread?



Heh heh...embarassed to say I've got you beat with back-to-back rounds...in my first ever sanctioned tournament I immediately followed an 824 rated round with a 945 rated one. 121 point swing of redemption. Oof.

From 836 to a 1030.

Rated 949, now thats a spread.

From 820's early on this year at Bowling Green to a 965 a couple weekends ago in Illinois. There may be a couple horrid rounds in there under 820 too but I couldn't bring myself to double check every event through the summer. The 965 is my highest round to date, rating is climbing currently at 887. There are a good amount of 900+ rounds so by all rights I should be able to offically mov eup at the next update if I can stay semi-consistent.

So I was looking at all the rounds that were used for my latest rating (960) and I have a spread from 888 to 1002! :eek: Can you say "inconsistent"? :oAnd people wondered why I played advanced for so long!?! :DAnybody else have a bigger spread?


Psh, I've had a bigger spread than that at one tournament before ;) Thankfully it was over a year ago.

I calculated my standard deviation yesterday and next update it should be around 28, if I didn't play another round. Means anything 70pts below my avg round is dropped. :) So happy to be finally tightening that up!

I calculated my standard deviation yesterday and next update it should be around 28, if I didn't play another round. Means anything 70pts below my avg round is dropped. :) So happy to be finally tightening that up!



Yeah what kinda sucks is when I started shooting GOOD rounds, like around 1000, it made my standard deviation go crazy. I wonder if maybe they should also exclude your highest round when determining your SD....nah that would be miniscule I guess.

Your own St Dev though, even without that one 995 rated round, is still pretty sporadic. You're looking at a range, even without that round, of 872 to 969 which is 97 points and not a ton of consistency in between. Things are going to go crazy when that happens.

My ratings have been all over the place, too. From 844 to 981. My 23 rated rounds include nine that are under 900 and five that are 950 or above. I really hope my second season will bring me at least some consistency because this is killing me!

i like my 20.78 stdev. its typically been about that. its kinda strange seeing people start to know their stdev. :)

Your own St Dev though, even without that one 995 rated round, is still pretty sporadic. You're looking at a range, even without that round, of 872 to 969 which is 97 points and not a ton of consistency in between. Things are going to go crazy when that happens.



Oh I totally agree, but before I had nothing but bad rounds it was kinda leveled out. I guess I'm thinking more ahead, about when I actually start throwing over 1000 rated rounds, when my spread goes from 872 to 1030. It makes me wonder why they only take the LOWER round out of the SD calculation when the highest round makes just as much impact. Am I right...... or not thinking clearly? If my goal was to get my SD lower, I'd have to consistantly shoot rounds near my rating. Since my goal isn't to stay the same, I'm trying to shoot hot rounds, which will make my SD suffer, for a period of time anyway. I'm wondering if rounds that previously were omitted by SD will be re-introduced if my SD goes up. Hmm.

My current SD is 27.43 (With unofficial rounds included), it went up from 26 because I had some more 985-997 rounds.